Congressional Predictions

Since there is less than 72 hours before the first polls close, I felt that I needed to start posting my predictions. I will start with some of the Congressional races. Not only will I try to predict the winner, but pick the percentages as well.

Listed are the races to watch. I was going to add all, but it would just take too much time. So I will list the races to watch on Tuesday. So where we go!

Incumbent Party in bold.

* - Districts where the outcome is probably predictable, but don't be surprised if it gets closer than expected.

Alabama 2nd - Jay Love (R) 51.6%, Bobby Bright (D)48.4% - Republican Hold

Alabama 5th - Parker Griffith (D) 53.5%, Wayne Parker (R) 46.5% - Democratic Hold

At-Large - Ethan Berkowitz (D) 52.2%, Don Young (R-Inc) 47.1%, Don Wright (AKIP) .7% - Democratic Pick-Up

Arizona 1st - Ann Kirkpatrick (D) 51.7%, Sydney Hay (R) 46.3%, Brent Maupin (I) 1%, Thane Eichenauer (L) 1% - Democratic Pick-Up

Arizona 3rd - John Shadegg (R-Inc) 52.2%, Bob Lord (D) 46.8%, Michael Shoen (L) 1% - Republican Hold

Arizona 5th - Harry Mitchell (D-Inc) 55%, David Schweikert (R) 44%, Warren Severin (L) 1% - Democratic Hold

Arizona 8th - Gabrielle Giffords (D-Inc) 54.5%, Timothy Bee (R) 44.5%, Paul Davis (L) 1% - Democratic Hold

California 3rd - Dan Lungren (R-Inc) 54%, Bill Durston (D) 46% - Republican Hold

California 4th - Charlie Brown (D) 51.2%, Tom McClintock (R) 48.8% - Democratic Pick-Up

California 11th - Jerry McNerney (D-Inc) 54.3%, Dean Andal (R) 45.7% - Democratic Hold

*California 26th - David Drier (R-Inc) 56%, Russ Warner (D) 46% - Republican Hold

California 50th - Brian Bilbray (R-Inc) 50.2%, Nick Leibham (D) 49.3%, Wayne Dunlap (L) .5% - Republican Hold

Colorado 4th - Betsy Markey (D) 52.3%, Marilyn Musgrave (R-Inc) 47.7% - Democratic Pick-Up

Connecticut 4th - Jim Himes (D) 50.2%, Christopher Shays (R-Inc) 49.8% - Democratic Pick-Up

Florida 8th - Alan Grayson (D) 53%, Ric Keller (R-Inc) 47% - Democratic Pick-Up

Florida 13th - Vern Buchanan (R-Inc) 56%, Christine Jennings (D) 44% - Republican Hold

Florida 16th - Tom Rooney (R) 62%, Tim Mahoney (D-Inc) 38% - Republican Pick-Up

Florida 21st - Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R-Inc), 50.1%, Raul Martinez (D) 49.9% - Republican Hold

Florida 24th - Susan Kosmas (D) 55%, Tom Feeney (R-Inc) 45% - Democratic Pick-Up

Florida 25th - Mario Diaz-Balart (R-Inc) 51.8%, Joe Garcia (D) 48.2% - Republican Hold.

Georgia 12th - John Barrow (D-Inc) 53%, John Stone (R) 47% - Democratic Hold

Iowa 4th - Tom Latham (R-Inc) 53%, Becky Greenwald (D) 47% - Republican Hold

Idaho 1st - Walt Minnick (D) 50.4%, Bill Sali (R-Inc) 49.6% - Democratic Pick-up

Illinois 8th - Melissa Bean (D-Inc) 53%, Steve Greenberg (R)47% - Democratic Hold

Illinois 10th - Dan Seals (D) 50.5%, Mark Kirk (R-Inc) 49.5% - Democratic Pick-Up

Illinois 11th - Debbie Halvorson (D) 51%, Marty Ozinga (R) 45%, Jason Wallace (G) 4% - Democratic Pick-Up

Illinois 14th - Bill Foster (D-Inc) 52%, Jim Oberweis (R) 48% - Democratic Hold

Indiana 3rd - Mark Souder (R-Inc) 49.1%, Mike Montagano (D) 48.9%, Bill Larsen (L) 2% - Republican Hold

*Indiana 4th - Steven Buyer (R-Inc) 57%, Nels Ackerson (D) 43% - Republican Hold

Indiana 9th - Baron Hill (D-Inc) 50%, Mike Sodrel (R) 45%, Eric Schansberg (L) 5% - Democratic Hold

Kansas 2nd - Nancy Boyda (D-Inc) 52%, Lynn Jenkins (R) 48% - Democratic Hold

Kentucky 2nd - Brett Guthrie (R) 53%, David Bowsell (D) 47% - Republican Hold

Maryland 1st - Andrew Harris (R) 53%, Frank Kratovil (D) 47% - Republican Hold

Michigan 7th - Mark Schauer (D) 53%, Tim Walberg (R-Inc) 47% - Democratic Pick Up

Michigan 9th - Gary Peters (D) 51%, Joe Knollenberg (R-Inc) 47%, Jack Kevorkian (I) 2% - Democratic Pick Up

*Minnesota 2nd - John Kline (R-Inc) 56%, Steve Sarvi (D) 44% - Republican Hold

Minnesota 3rd - Erik Paulsen (R) 47%, Ashwin Madia (D) 46%, David Dillon (MIP) 7% - Republican Hold

Minnesota 6th - Elwyn Tinklenberg (D) 48%, Michelle Bachmann (R-Inc) 46%, Bob Anderson (MIN) 6% - Democratic Pick Up

*Missouri 6th - Sam Graves (R-Inc) 52%, Kay Barnes (D) 46%, David Browning (L) 2% - Republican Hold

Missouri 9th - Blane Luetkemeyer (R) 52%, Judy Baker (D) 48% - Republican Hold

North Carolina 8th - Larry Kissel (D) 51%, Robin Hayes (R-Inc) 49% - Democratic Pick-Up

New Hampshire 1st - Carol Shea-Porter (D-Inc) 52%, Jeb Bradley (R) 48% - Democratic Hold

New Jersey 3rd - John Adler (R) 50.1%, Christopher Myers (R) 49.9% - Democratic Pick-Up

*New Jersey 5th - Scott Garrett (R-Inc) 54%, Dennis Shulman (D) 46% - Republican Hold

New Jersey 7th - Linda Stender (D) 49.2%, Leonard Lance (R) 48.8, Michael Hsing (I) 2% - Democratic Pick Up

New Mexico 1st - Martin Heinrich (D) 53%, Darren White (R) 47% - Democratic Pick Up

New Mexico 2nd - Harry Teague (D) 53%, Edward Tinsley (R) 47% - Democratic Pick Up

Nevada 3rd - Dina Titus (D) 51%, Jon Porter (R-Inc) 49% - Democratic Pick Up

New York 13th - Michael McMahon (D) 55%, Robert Straniere (R) 43%, Others 2% - Democratic Pick Up

New York 25th - Dan Maffei (D) 58%, Dan Sweetland (R) 42% - Democratic Pick Up

New York 26th - Chris Lee (R) 50.5%, Alice Kryzan (D) 49.5% - Republican Hold

New York 29th - Eric Massa (D) 52%, Randy Kuhl (R-Inc) 48% - Democratic Pick Up

Ohio 1st - Steve Driehaus (D) 50.1, Steve Chabot (R-Inc) 49.9% - Democratic Pick Up

Ohio 2nd - Jean Schmidt (R-Inc) 47%, Vic Wulsin (D) 46%, David Kirkorian (I) 7% - Republican Hold

Ohio 15th - Mary Jo Kilroy (D) 51%, Steven Stivers (R) 46%, Others 3% - Democratic Pick Up

Ohio 16th - John Boccieri (D) 54%, J. Kirk Schuring (R) 46% - Democratic Pick Up

Pennsylvania 3rd - Kathy Dahlkemper (D) 52%, Phil English (R-Inc) 48% - Democratic Pick Up

Pennsylvania 11th - Lou Barletta (R) 54%, Paul Kanjorski (D-Inc) 46% - Republican Pick Up

Pennsylvania 12th - Jack Murtha (D-Inc) 53%, William Russell (R) 47% - Democratic Hold

Pennsylvania 15th - Charles Dent (R-Inc) 52%, Sam Bennett (D) 48% - Republican Hold

*South Carolina 1st - Henry Brown (R-Inc) 56%, Linda Ketner (D) 44% - Republican Hold

Texas 10th - Michael McCaul (R-Inc) 53%, Larry Doherty (D) 47% - Republican Hold

Texas 22nd - Pete Olson (R) 54%, Nick Lampson (D-Inc) 46% - Republican Pick Up

Virginia 5th - Virgil Goode (R-Inc) 51.5%, Tom Perriello (D) 48.5% - Republican Hold

Virginia 11th - Gerry Connolly (D) 56%, Keith Fimian (R) 44% - Democratic Pick Up

Washington 4th - Doc Hastings (R-Inc) 52%, George Fearing (D) 48% - Republican Hold

Washington 8th - David Reichert (R-Inc) 50.4%, Darcy Burner (D) 49.6% - Republican Hold

Wisconsin 8th - Steve Kagen (D-Inc) 54%, John Gard (R) 46% - Democratic Hold

Wyoming At-Large - Cynthia Lummis (R) 50%, Gary Trauner (D) 48%, David Herbert (L) 2% - Republican Hold

Totals
Democratic Pick Ups: 27
Republican Pick Ups: 3
Net Gain: 24 Democrats

Democrats 260, Republicans 175